JAMESTOWN – Widespread rain has tapered off from West to East through the morning hours today, but a few scattered showers are still possible through the afternoon as moisture continues to work in.
While the NOAA Storm Prediction Center does have the western-most portion of the region under a less-than-average Marginal Risk (1/5) for severe storms this afternoon, the overall threat isn’t very great.
The better chance for storms will be tomorrow afternoon with a Cold front plowing through. Once again, the SPC has the entire region under a Marginal Risk, with the standard Slight Risk (2/5) further to our east in Central New York.
Computer modeling has been showing the storms not becoming stronger until they reach Central New York due to a more favorable environment with higher levels of instability. We’re not going to rule out the chance for a stronger storm or two around Western New York but as is the case for Tuesday, the odds are rather small at this point.
If any storms can become severe, the primary concern will be from damaging winds.
Looking beyond Wednesday, Mother Nature has gotten the memo that is is Fall. A seasonable pattern will be in place over the next seven or so days .
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