Lake Effect Rain For Some Today, Wet Flakes By Thursday Morning

JAMESTOWN – Mother Nature has a nice combo platter of weather lined up for Western New York over the next 48 or so hours.
The northern tier of Chautauqua County will likely deal with a band of lake effect rain this afternoon as cold air still remains over Lake Erie. Areas to the south near the state line will stay dry.
Another band of lake rain will likely setup this evening and sag further southward, clipping areas to the south. That rain will continue throughout the day on Wednesday.
Models have been consistent in depicting a changeover to wet snow Wednesday evening, lasting through early Thursday, with the greatest chance of any accumulation will be on the higher terrain of the Southern Tier.

In-house high resolution model showing a changeover to snow on the hills by 6 PM Wednesday

The accumulations will be light; less than an inch, mainly due to the rather wet nature of the flakes. However, if the snow accumulates to the point where it can be measured, that will be counted as the “official” first snowfall of the season for some.
If any snow accumulates, the best chance for it will be along the hillier terrain

Another front comes our way late Friday through the weekend, bring with it another chance for some rain and or snow showers Sunday and Monday.
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